President betting odds from Smarkets, 538, Betfair and more

Will Donald Trump get the chance to make America great again?

After the vice presidential debate on Tuesday, the chances are much better.

The former president, who was leading President Joe Biden in the polls before he stepped down to let Vice President Kamala Harris take the Democratic nomination, is back in the race after more than a month behind.

Harris had been leading Trump for about a month before Tuesday's vice presidential debate, according to bookmakers.

According to realclearpolling.com, Harris now has a 49.4% chance of winning the November election, while Trump has a 49.3% chance.

And now they are divided across the board.

Winners and Losers: The winners (and losers) of the vice presidential debate between JD Vance and Tim Walz

Betsson, Bwin, Points Bet, Polymarket and Smarkets are now in the running as pick'em.

Betfair gives Trump a 1% lead over Harris, 48% to 47%. Bvoda still has Harris ahead 51% to 49%.

Betfair spokesman Sam Rosbottom told Newsweek that there was a change following the vice presidential debate between Trump's running mate JD Vance and Harris' running mate Tim Walz.

“Kamala Harris was just 20/21 short of winning the November vote yesterday, but those odds dropped to 21/20 overnight after the vice presidential debate,” Rosbottom said.

“With the US election just over a month away, it’s safe to say the race for the White House is really heating up.”

It was probably the last debate. Trump and Harris met for a debate in September and did not agree to a second duel.

The political climate of the last few months has made history and here are some headlines that influenced this race:

Recently, there have been bubbling issues that point to chaos in the run-up to the election, such as the port strike in the ports on the East and Gulf Coasts and the simmering conflicts in the Middle East.

What did Allan Lichtman predict for the 2024 presidential election?

Presidential historian Allan Lichtman, 77, is a distinguished history professor at American University and lives in Bethesda, Maryland.

The presidential historian has predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election against former President Donald Trump. He says he uses a series of 13 “keys” to make his selection, ranging from economic indicators to candidates’ charisma.

Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of almost every election in the last half century, except for the 2000 election, in which Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.

How accurate were the voting rates or polls in past presidential elections?

According to Conversation, a nonprofit news organization, the betting favorite has lost just twice since 1866.

Polling track record is more challenging because different pollsters surveying different populations can often find higher margins of error.

According to Pew Research, the public's trust in opinion polls has suffered due to errors in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections.

In these two general elections, many polls underestimated the strength of the Republican candidates, including Donald Trump.

President betting odds from Smarkets, 538, Betfair and more

ByVanessa

What did Allan Lichtman predict for the 2024 presidential election?

How accurate were the voting rates or polls in past presidential elections?

By Vanessa

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