ATP Shanghai best bets including Tsitsipas vs Muller

ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai 1/16 Final

Tiafoe – Zhou: 10/07/2024 08:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Frances Tiafoe has lost three of her last five games. His last competitive victory came at the US Open, where, as we predicted, he was stopped by Fritz in the semifinals. Last week in Tokyo, Tiafoe lost his opening match against Nakashima in straight sets. Last year in Shanghai, Tiafoe lost his opening match against Sonego in three sets. Frances is aiming for a solid result this week to cement his top 20 status.

Yi Zhou has lost three of his last five games. Last week in Beijing, Zhou lost his opening match against Kotov in three sets. Here in Shanghai he got a wildcard. In the first round, Zhou was down 2-4 in the first set against Nishioka. Unfortunately, Nishioka withdrew due to a back injury. Yi is only 19 years old and also has great potential. Yi achieved his greatest successes at the ITF level. He is slowly moving to the Challenger Tour level. Zhou spent most of this season playing at the ITF level in Asia. These tournaments were important for him to prepare for his upcoming matches at the highest level.

The best bet

According to bookmakers, Tiafoe is the big favorite in this duel. We believe he is a much better player than Zhou at this point. Even though his form hasn't been particularly great, we still believe that Tiafoe will cope with the task without any problems.

Apart from that, Tiafoe covering the game's handicap is a value bet.

Value Bet/best odds: Frances Tiafoe -5.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365

Tsitsipas – Müller: October 7, 2024 6:00 a.m. CEST
H2H: first meeting

Stefanos Tsitsipas has lost three of his last five games. Last week in Tokyo, Stefanos lost in the first round, where, as we predicted, he was defeated by Michelsen in three sets. Here in Shanghai, Stefanos defeated Nishikori in straight sets in his opening match. Tsitsipas has struggled with his form this season, which has seen him finish outside the top 10. Last year in Shanghai, Stefanos reached the third round, where he lost to Humbert in three close sets.

Alexandre Müller has lost three of his last five games. Last week in Tokyo, Müller failed to qualify for the main round tournament. Here in Shanghai, Muller won his opening match against Nardi in three sets. After losing the first set 4:6, Muller raised his level and turned the game around. In the second round, Muller defeated Auger-Aliassime in straight sets.

The best bet

According to bookmakers, Stefanos is the favorite in this match. Even though Tsitsipas has struggled with his form recently, we still believe he will be a better player on the pitch and dominate from the start. Muller hasn't had any notable results this season and we believe he won't be able to beat Stefanos in the third round tomorrow.

Apart from that, Tsitsipas covering the game's handicap is a value bet.

Value Bet/best odds: Stefanos Tsitsipas -3.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365

Main photo credit: Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports