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Phillies vs. Mets NLDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Tips – October 8th

Data script

The NLDS continues Tuesday at 5:08 p.m. ET when the Philadelphia Phillies visit the New York Mets live on Fox Sports 1 from Citi Field. Both teams are looking for a decisive win to end the 1-1 tie in the series after the first two games. Bookmakers have the Phillies as the moneyline favorite at -111, while giving the underdog Mets a moneyline odds of -108. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total for the matchup was listed at 7 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Phillies-Mets game from a betting perspective, including run line, moneyline and total, as well as expert tips.

Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos discuss the Phillies' 7-6 win over the Mets in the NLDS

Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos discuss the Phillies' 7-6 win over the Mets in the NLDS

Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos discussed the Philadelphia Phillies' 7-6 victory over the New York Mets in Game 2 of the NLDS.

Phillies vs. Mets game information and odds

  • When: Tuesday, October 8, 2024, 5:08 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline In total Above-overall odds Below overall odds running line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -111 -108 7 -106 -115 -1.5 +158 -190

Phillies vs Mets Prediction

  • Result prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
  • Overall prediction: Over 7 runs
  • Probabilities of winning: Phillies 53%, Mets 47%

Phillies vs. Mets betting insights

  • The Phillies have been the favorite in 131 games this season and won 81 (61.8%) of those games.
  • Philadelphia has an 80-50 record, which is a 61.5% win rate when favored by bookmakers at -111 or more this season.
  • Based on the money line implied probability, the Phillies have a 52.6% chance of winning this game.
  • The Mets have been underdogs in 68 games this season and have won 31 times (45.6%) in those contests.
  • This season, New York has won 29 times in 63 chances when called as an underdog at least -108 or worse on the money line.
  • The money line set for this matchup suggests the Mets have a 51.9% chance of winning.

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

New York Mets

NYM

Current Phillies betting performance

  • The Phillies have played as moneyline favorites in nine of their last 10 games, finishing 4-5 in those meetings.
  • In the last 10 meetings (all of which had set point totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to exceed the point total eight times.
  • The Phillies' ATS record is 3-7-0 in their last 10 games.

Current Phillies stats

Stat Average/Total
Record 4-6
Runs per game 4.2
Human Resources 14
EPOCH 5.65
K/9 10.2

Insights into Phillies players

  • The Phillies' best power option is Kyle Schwarber and his 38-D, 104 RBI season, both team highs.
  • Schwarber ranks eighth in home runs and 10th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Bryce Harper has 42 doubles, 30 home runs and 76 walks while batting .285.
  • Harper ranks 20th in home runs and 31st in RBI in the Major Leagues.
  • Harper has a streak of three games with at least one goal in this competition. In his last five appearances, he hit .286 with a double, a home run, six walks and two RBI.
  • Alec Bohm is batting .280 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is batting .254 with 30 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 41 walks.
  • Castellanos is on a two-game winning streak coming into this game. He hit .400 with a triple, a home run, a walk and two RBI in his last five appearances.

Phillies team props

Hit O/U Total base O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Alec Boehm 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+175)
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+165)
Trea Turner 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+185)
Johan Rojas 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (+425)
JT Realmuto 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (+215)

Find out more about this Phillies-Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Current Mets betting performance

  • The Mets played as underdogs in seven of their last 10 games, winning four of those contests.
  • The Mets and their opponents have had the advantage a total of six times in their last 10 games.
  • In their last 10 games, the Mets are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Current Mets stats

Stat Average/Total
Record 5-5
Runs per game 4.4
Human Resources 9
EPOCH 4.33
K/9 10.1

Mets Player Insights

  • The Mets are led in runs batted in by Francisco Lindor with a mark of 91, he also leads the team in slugging, posting a .273 average.
  • Lindor ranks 14th in home runs and 25th in RBI among all hitters in the major leagues.
  • Pete Alonso hit a team-best 34 home runs.
  • Alonso ranks 12th in home runs and 29th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Brandon Nimmo is batting .224 with 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks.
  • Jesse Winker is batting .253 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Mets team props

Hit O/U Total base O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jose Iglesias 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+245)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+180)
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-155) 0.5 (-155) 0.5 (+195)
Francisco Alvarez 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (+260)
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (+200)

Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos discuss the Phillies' 7-6 win over the Mets in the NLDS

Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos discuss the Phillies' 7-6 win over the Mets in the NLDS

Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos discussed the Philadelphia Phillies' 7-6 victory over the New York Mets in Game 2 of the NLDS.

FOX Sports created this story using technology and data from Sportradar provided by Data Skrive.

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New York Mets

Philadelphia Phillies


By Vanessa

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