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Padres vs. Dodgers NLDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Tips – October 9th

Data script

The NLDS begins on Wednesday at 9:08 p.m. ET when the San Diego Padres host the Los Angeles Dodgers live on Fox Sports 1 from PETCO Park. The Padres would advance to the NLCS with a win in Game 4, while the Dodgers hope to force a winner-take-all in Game 5. Oddsmakers have the Padres as -147 moneyline favorites while giving the underdog Dodgers a +124 moneyline odds. San Diego (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total for the matchup was listed at 8 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Dodgers game, including run line, moneyline and totals, as well as expert tips.

Padres defeat Dodgers Game 3 Reaction: David Ortiz, Alex Rodriguez and Derek Jeter | MLB on FOX

Padres defeat Dodgers Game 3 Reaction: David Ortiz, Alex Rodriguez and Derek Jeter | MLB on FOX

David Ortiz, Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez and Kevin Burkhardt react to the San Diego Padres' victory in Game 3 of the NLDS over the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Padres vs. Dodgers game information and odds

  • When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024, 9:08 p.m. ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline In total Above-overall odds Below overall odds running line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -147 +124 8 -112 -109 -1.5 +142 -169

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction

  • Result prediction: Padres 5, Dodgers 4
  • Overall prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Probabilities of winning: Padres 53%, Dodgers 47%

Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been the favorite in 105 games this season, winning 64 (61%) of those contests.
  • This season, San Diego has won 34 of its 51 games, or 66.7%, when it had a lead of at least -147 on the money line.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 59.5% chance of the Padres winning.
  • The Dodgers have won five times in the 18 contests in which they were considered underdogs this season.
  • Los Angeles has a win-loss record of 2-3 this year when favored by oddsmakers at +124 or worse.
  • The money line set for this matchup suggests the Dodgers have a 44.6% chance of winning.

Los Angeles Dodgers

BOY

San Diego Padres

SD

Current Padres betting performance

  • The Padres played three of their last ten games as moneyline favorites and won all of them.
  • In their last 10 meetings (all 10 had set point totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to exceed the run total six times.
  • The Padres' ATS record is 5-5-0 in their last 10 games.

Current Padres stats

Stat Average/Total
Record 6-4
Runs per game 4.7
Human Resources 15
EPOCH 4.19
K/9 8.2

Insights into the Padres players

  • Jurickson Profar is batting .280 with 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 76 walks.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Profar ranks 42nd in home runs and 35th in RBI.
  • Profar has scored in two straight games. He hit .222 with three walks and one RBI in his last five games.
  • Manny Machado hit 29 home runs with 105 RBI. Both give his team speed.
  • Machado ranks 24th in home runs and ninth in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Machado is on a four-game winning streak with at least one goal in this match. In his last five games, he hit .238 with a double, a home run and four RBI.
  • Jackson Merrill hit .292 with 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 29 walks.
  • Luis Arraez has a club-high batting average of .314.

Padres team props

Hit O/U Total base O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-285) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+135)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+230)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+125)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+135)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (+230)

Find out more about this Padres-Dodgers matchup on Fox Sports.

Current Dodgers betting performance

  • The Dodgers have been underdogs once in the last 10 games and lost that contest.
  • In the last 10 games, the Dodgers and their opponents have outscored a total of seven times.
  • The Dodgers have a record of 5-5-0 ATS in their last 10 games.

Current Dodgers stats

Stat Average/Total
Record 7-3
Runs per game 5.9
Human Resources 16
EPOCH 4.15
K/9 8.8

Dodgers Player Insights

  • Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers in home runs (54), runs batted in (130) and has the team's best batting average of .310.
  • Ohtani ranks second in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in the MLB.
  • Freddie Freeman batted .282 with 35 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 78 walks.
  • Freeman ranks 58th in home runs and 28th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Mookie Betts has 24 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 61 walks while batting .289.
  • Teoscar Hernandez has 32 doubles, two triples, 33 home runs and 53 walks while batting .272.

Dodgers team props

Hit O/U Total base O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Freddie Freeman 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+180)
Mookie Betts 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+165)
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+155)
Tommy Edman 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (+245)
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (+175)

Padres defeat Dodgers Game 3 Reaction: David Ortiz, Alex Rodriguez and Derek Jeter | MLB on FOX

Padres defeat Dodgers Game 3 Reaction: David Ortiz, Alex Rodriguez and Derek Jeter | MLB on FOX

David Ortiz, Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez and Kevin Burkhardt react to the San Diego Padres' victory in Game 3 of the NLDS over the Los Angeles Dodgers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology and data from Sportradar provided by Data Skrive.

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San Diego Padres

Los Angeles Dodgers


By Vanessa

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