2025 NFL Draft Order Predictions: Patriots, Panthers at the top

The 2024 NFL season is only five weeks old, but it's never too early to start thinking about the 2025 draft, which begins April 24 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Let's take a look at the projected first-round draft order for all 32 teams using ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI).

Each week during the season, FPI projects the draft order by simulating the remainder of the season 20,000 times. Game probabilities are based largely on the model's ratings for individual teams and game locations. The order is based on the records the model assumes the teams will have after 17 games and each team's average draft position in the simulations.

According to our FPI predictions, the Miami Dolphins had the best chance of securing the No. 1 pick after Week 4, but there was another shift at the top. Who is the new No. 1? Which playoff teams from last season are in the top five? Check out our full predictions below and check back every Tuesday throughout the season for updates.

Learn more about the NFL Draft

Average draft position: 4.0
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 31.8%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 76.8%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 94.0%

Average draft position: 5.1
FPI chance to get the #1 pick: 18.2%
FPI chance of getting a top five pick: 65.6%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 88.6%

Average draft position: 6.0
FPI chance to get the #1 pick: 13.6%
FPI chance of getting a top five pick: 59.5%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 85.0%

Average draft position: 7.5
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 9.1%
FPI chance of getting a top five pick: 48.0%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 77.3%

Average draft position: 8.0
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 7.7%
FPI chance of getting a top five pick: 44.4%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 74.3%

Average draft position: 9.4
FPI chance to get the #1 pick: 5.3%
FPI chance of getting a top five pick: 34.5%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 66.1%

Average draft position: 10.0
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 3.4%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 29.8%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 62.1%

Average draft position: 10.3
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 2.8%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 24.2%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 55.4%

Average draft position: 10.6
FPI chance to get the #1 pick: 2.6%
FPI chance of getting a top five pick: 24.4%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 54.8%

Average draft position: 14.2
FPI chance to get the #1 pick: 1.1%
FPI chance of getting a top five pick: 14.5%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 40.1%