A look at the individual games of the DFS weekend

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Estimated reading time: 15 minutes

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This breakdown can be used for cash games, single entry, three max and high dollar GPPs. For maximum input GPPs, use recommended players to build your player pool (players are listed in order of presence). Unless otherwise stated, all speed and success rates refer to “neutral situations” (+/-8 points).

How do I best use the Sunday AM Update?

The Sunday AM Update provides a play-by-play analysis of the DraftKings main roster, focusing on key injuries, advanced stats, trends, and expected tempo and play.

I also provide my “optimal lineups” for DraftKings (“DK”). These lineups (“LUs”) consist of 7 out of 9 players to comply with DraftKings rules of not issuing complete teams. One is designed for GPPs and one for cash games.

In addition to optimal lineups, I also share my personal “core” player pool (typically 16-20 players), which I introduce in three-max competitions (competitions that allow three lineups per user) and other multi-participant GPPs (competitions , which allow up to 150 lineups per user).

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BUF@HOU | MIA@NE | IND@JAX | BAL@CIN CAR@CHI | CLE@WAS | LV@DEN | ARI@SF | NYG@SEA | GB@LAR

FORMERLY slate

CAROLINA PANTHERS VS. CHICAGO BEARS

• CHI -3.5, O/U 41
• Implied team totals: CAR (18.75), CHI (22.25)
  
  
  

  Pacing, playcalling, stats and trends

• Carolina ranks 24th in explosive pass rate allowed and has given up the 13th most fantasy points to wide receivers on the ninth fewest attempts against.

• Caleb Williams is 14 of 36 under pressure (3.8 yards per attempt, 39% completion rate) and 73 of 105 when he's clear (6.2 yards per attempt, 70% completion rate). Only Jalen Hurts and Will Levis have a lower PFF pressure grade.

• Carolina ranks 32nd in defensive pressure rate.

• Williams leads the league in deep pass attempts per game (5.8) but ranks 31st among 32 qualified quarterbacks in deep ball accuracy.

• Carolina has a top-five rating in pass blocking but will be challenged against Chicago, which has the fourth-highest pressure rate.

• The Panthers scored 36 and 24 points Andy Dalton as a starter, compared to an average of just 6.5 points per game Bryce YoungIt begins.

• Chicago's defense led the league in interceptions per game in 2023 (1.3) and ranks fourth this season (1.3).

• With Keenan Allen back, Rome OdunzeRoute participation fell from 82% to 66%.

• As expected, DJ MooreThe average depth of target (aDOT) increased from 8 to 15 yards in Week 4 Keenan Allen back, while Allen had a 3.0-yard aDOT.

• Moore averages 16.7 expected fantasy points per game but only delivers 11.9 fantasy points per game.

• Carolina likes to run the ball (53% pass rate in the first half of games), but their defense forces them to have a high pass rate in the second half (63%).

• The Panthers rank 30th in yards before contact despite the offensive line's struggles Chuba Hubbard has averaged 5.75 yards per carry in his last three games and has surpassed 100 yards in both games with Dalton under center.

• Chicago ranks fifth in EPA total players allowed, 16th in rushing and third in passing. That means fantasy, where they have allowed the fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks, the eighth-fewest to wide receivers and the 11th-most fantasy points to running backs thanks to five rushing touchdowns allowed.

• D'Andre Swift His route participation increased from 43% in the first three games to 58%. He was second on the team in target percentage with seven goals (7-72-0). Carolina has allowed 18 of 19 running back targets to be completed.

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