Marina Rodriguez vs. Iasmin Lucindo Pick, Oct 5, 2024 Predictions UFC 307 Odds

Marina Rodriguez vs Iasmin Lucindo

UFC 307

Delta Center in Salt Lake City

Saturday, October 5, 2024

Marina Rodriguez will face Iasmin Lucindo in the Octagon at UFC 307 on Saturday, October 5, 2024. On the moneyline, Rodriguez is priced at +145 while Lucindo is at -175.

Marina Rodriguez is looking to add a win to her 17-4-2 record. The 37-year-old will fight at 115 pounds. and stands at 5' 6″. The orthodox fighter extends her reach to 65″. Iasmin Lucindo measures 1.75 m and reports a weight of 115 pounds. The orthodox fighter enters the cage with a mark of 16-5-0. The 22-year-old stretches 66 inches. In the significant hits category, Marina Rodriguez has a strike rate of 4.82 strikes per minute and Iasmin Lucindo has a strike rate of 3.95 significant strikes per minute. Rodriguez connects on 47% of the key shots she attempts, while Lucindo lands 46%. When it comes to defense in the Octagon, Rodriguez is allowing 3.12 significant strikes per minute while Lucindo is allowing 3.11. Rodriguez also defends 55% of the significant punches thrown her way by her opponents, and Lucindo is able to defend against 66% of the punches thrown her way.

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When it comes to wrestling, Marina Rodriguez is the less experienced wrestler as she brings her opponents to the mat 0.23 times per third. Rodriguez completes her takedown attempts on 42% of her attempts and defends 65% of all of her opponents' takedown attempts. Lucindo brings her opponent to the mat on 53% of her takedown attempts and stops 80% of the attempts against her. When it comes to submissions, Rodriguez is less likely to hit the target by attempting 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds, while Lucindo aims for 0.3 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In her previous fight, Marina Rodriguez faced Jessica Andrade and lost the fight via a split decision in round 3. Andrade landed 124 of the 220 punches she dropped in total in that contest. Rodriguez finished the evening with 94 of 241 total hits. In the significant hits category, Andrade landed 89 out of 180, a rate of 49%. She ended up landing 35 of 110 significant blows to the head. On the other side of the cage, Rodriguez ended up landing 35% of her significant punches, landing 82 of 228. As for the placement of those significant punches, she landed 70 of 207 specifically to the head. 88% of Andrade's significant hits and 93% of Rodriguez's significant hits came from distance.

In Iasmin Lucindo's last Octagon appearance, she fought Karolina Kowalkiewicz and won by unanimous decision in round 3. Kowalkiewicz landed 95% of her significant hits from distance and Lucindo ended up scoring 68% of her significant goals from distance. Lucindo landed 61% of her significant scoring attempts, landing 83 of 136. She landed 53 of 100 significant hits to the head. Kowalkiewicz landed 42 of 111 significant strikes in this fight. Of all the significant punches, she landed 17 of 73 aimed at the head. In terms of the total number of punches she threw, Kowalkiewicz scored 47 out of 119 hits and Lucindo scored 91 out of 144 punches she threw overall.

Other fights on the card are worth keeping an eye on

Another fight you shouldn't miss is Carla Esparza vs. Tecia Pennington in the Octagon. Esparza will look to add a win to her 20-7-0 record. The 36-year-old reports a weight of 115 pounds. and comes in at 5' 1″. The orthodox fighter is 63″ long. Pennington is 1.75 meters tall and weighs 55 kilograms. The Orthodox fighter will look to add a win to her career record of 13-7-0. The 35-year-old is 60 inches tall. In grappling, Carla Esparza brings her opponents to the mat 3.22 times per 3 rounds and Tecia Pennington brings her opponents to the mat 0.61 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to hitting, Esparza lands 2.16 punches per minute and connects on 40% of the punches she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Tecia Pennington, who is landing 47% of her shot attempts and is scoring at a rate of 4.78 per minute.

Another fight to watch is Khalil Rountree Jr. vs. Alex Pereira in the Octagon. Pereira enters the cage with a score of 11-2-0. The 37-year-old weighs 205 pounds. and is 6 feet 4 inches tall. The Orthodox Fighter has a reach of 79 inches. Rountree Jr. stands 6' 1″ and weighs in at 205 pounds. The southpaw fighter will look to add a win to his career record of 14-5-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old stands at 76″ tall. When it comes to takedowns, Alex Pereira is able to defend against 70% of his opponents' takedowns and completes his takedown attempts in 85% of his attempts. Rountree Jr. completes his takedowns on 15% of his attempts and is able to thwart 58% of his opponents' takedowns. When it comes to hitting, Pereira hits 3.51 punches per minute and lands 5.23 per minute. Rountree Jr., on the other hand, absorbs 4.18 hits per minute and hits at 3.84 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's pick: Take Marina Rodriguez (+145)

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